A couple weeks ago we wrote about the official elimination of the Mariners and Nationals in Baseball Prospectus' playoff odds (whose formula is statistically solid). By using that same formula, one can see that the Yankees currently have a four percent chance of making the playoffs (which, obviously includes the wild card). Granted, this doesn't include the fact that Carl Pavano, Hideki Matsui and Phil Hughes are returning soon, but it still looks bleak for the Yankees.
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